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Twenty years after the introduction of the theory, we revisit what it does—and doesn’t—explain. by Clayton M. Christensen, Michael E. Raynor and Rory McDonald Please enjoy this HBR Classic. Clayton M.

PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is BP’s proprietary system that projects player and team performance PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past ...